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Weekly Talking Points - Bets on Fed rate cuts increase

Our round-up of what to expect in the coming week and the key events of last week. The regular Spotlight feature looks at fed funds futures and the increased bets on a rate cut by year end. Fans of this view may be disappointed. Our Review section looks at the fall in US inflation readings. Steps in the right direction, but the Fed is still expected to raise rates by 25 bp in May, and then pause, not pivot. To read more please subscribe.

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Central bank rate change divergence is likely to build over the summer. The RBNZ meets o/n and it will be interesting to see if they push rates higher again or pause. The USD is holding steady or gain

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