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Economics for Investment - Slowing into recession

Our quarterly publication looks at economic trends and long-term asset allocation themes. We assess the prospects for markets using our SOLVER model (Stage of the cycle, Outlook, Leading indicators, Valuations, Expectations and Risks). The Focus article argues that US inflation should come down soon, due to an expected recession, but only gradually back to 2%, leaving the Fed on pause rather than cutting soon. Plus regional analysis covering the US, China, UK, Euro zone and Japan. This publication is available for professional investor clients. Contact Tricio if you are interested in receiving a trial copy.

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The currency market is at a key juncture. Major central banks may be near their 'peak' rate for this cycle, while the Bank of Japan has kept rates below 0% and is still offering a lot of stimulus to t

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