top of page

Economics for Investment - Wage Growth is Key

Our quarterly publication looks at economic trends and long-term asset allocation themes. We assess the prospects for markets using our SOLVER model (Stage of the cycle, Outlook, Leading Indicators, Valuations, Expectations and Risks). Our Focus article argues that US CPI inflation could fall to near zero in 2023 (headline) and near 2% (core) if energy and car prices fall back after their big rises this year. This will make the Fed's job judging the inflation outlook hard in 2023. Plus regional analysis covering the US, UK, China, Euro zone and Japan.

Recent Posts

See All

Focus - Currency Matters February 2024

Expectations of early central bank rate cuts were reappraised over the last month. We maintain our view that the USD is liable to slip this year. Key levels are in play in USD/JPY, but we expect a Y14

bottom of page