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Tricio Monthly Insights - Hope for the best, plan for the worst?

Our investment monthly for January 2024 provides detailed market analysis of equity, bond, commodity, currency, credit and emerging markets. We changed our asset allocation and reduced our US Investment Grade credit weighting to 'neutral' from 'overweight'. This was done on the view that yield spread compression over Treasury yields has come a long way and further tightening may be difficult. We raised our weighting in US small-cap equites to 'overweight' from 'neutral', taking the view that this part of the equity market may continue to do well if the US avoids a hard landing in 2024. In our regular features, our ESG investment column discusses how ESG investing is not dead, but needs a rethink. Investing for Yield looks at the slide in bond market yields and takes the view that if yields have peaked, pullbacks may offer opportunities. Under the Bonnet looks at why UK inflation is so high and Jargon Buster discusses the Magnificent Seven and looks at alternative ideas. To receive this and other publications please subscribe to Tricio Insights.

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Focus - Currency Matters February 2024

Expectations of early central bank rate cuts were reappraised over the last month. We maintain our view that the USD is liable to slip this year. Key levels are in play in USD/JPY, but we expect a Y14

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