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Tricio Monthly Insights - Rising rate breaking point

Our investment monthly for April 2023 provides detailed market analysis of equity, bond, commodity, currency, credit and emerging markets. We kept our asset allocation unchanged, but are a bit worried about credit markets in case the US enters a hard recession. We expect one more 25 bp hike from the Fed and then a long pause. In our regular features, we look at Governance in our ESG investments column. Investing for Yield looks at money market and ultra-short term bond funds. Under the Bonnet looks at what lies behind a bank run, while Jargon Buster discusses moral hazard. To receive this and other publications please subscribe to Tricio Insights.

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Central bank rate change divergence is likely to build over the summer. The RBNZ meets o/n and it will be interesting to see if they push rates higher again or pause. The USD is holding steady or gain

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